China and India: Face Off Over Siberian Oil

As recently reported in The Wall Street Journal, China and India are facing off yet again in the race to secure energy resources to fuel their economic growth, this time in Russia’s Siberian oil fields. As the article notes:

“…Sinopec, has joined the bidding for London-listed Imperial Energy Corp., which primarily produces oil in Russia, a person familiar with the situation said Monday. India’s state-owned Oil & Natural Gas Corp. has already offered about $2.5 billion for Imperial Energy, according to another person with knowledge of that offer.

…China and India, the world’s two most populous nations, rely on energy imports and have frequently butted heads in their efforts to invest in oil assets overseas, primarily in developing nations. The Sino-Indian rivalry has helped drive up the price of oil and gas fields around the world. Chinese companies bested ONGC or one of its affiliates in energy deals in Kazakhstan and Ecuador in 2005 and in Nigeria in 2006.

“I think it’s pretty clear that China wins every time the two go head to head in either buying equity stakes in oil blocks or companies. India doesn’t have China’s deep pockets — it’s as simple as that,” said Seema Desai, a London-based analyst at consulting firm Eurasia Group.

China and India have cooperated at times in their respective quests. In December 2005, a joint venture between ONGC and state-run China National Petroleum Corp. successfully bid for a stake in Petro-Canada’s oil field in Syria.

China has been increasingly assertive in trying to secure energy assets. It recently put pressure on neighboring Vietnam and on ExxonMobil Corp. over an oil-exploration project in the South China Sea.

Yet China has had its share of setbacks, most notably the collapse of a $18.5 billion bid in 2005 by China National Offshore Oil Corp., known as Cnooc, to buy Unocal Corp., in the face of U.S. political resistance. Sinopec and Cnooc also failed two years before that to acquire stakes in the enormous offshore Kashagan field in Kazakhstan.

More recently, China has succeeded in extending its reach by taking a more benign approach. Cnooc unit China Oilfield Services Ltd. last month launched a $2.5 billion friendly takeover of a Norwegian oilfield services provider, Awilco Offshore ASA.

It wasn’t immediately clear how much Sinopec or ONGC is offering for Imperial Energy. Based on Imperial Energy’s closing price Friday of 1,074 pence a share, it has a market capitalization of about £1.1 billion ($2.2 billion). On Monday, Imperial Energy rose 8% to 1,160 pence.

“I don’t know at what price Sinopec would be bidding, but it is a possibility that ONGC may revise its bid,” said Sudeep Anand, a Mumbai-based associate vice president with financial-services firm Religare Securities Ltd. Imperial Energy said there could be no certainty that any offer would be made for the company.

A deal would add to either ONGC’s or Sinopec’s existing Russian holdings. Imperial Energy operates a cluster of oil fields in the Tomsk region of western Siberia, which it said in a filing earlier this year holds proven and probable reserves totaling 920 million barrels of oil and gas equivalent.

Imperial Energy produced an average of 10,000 barrels of oil a day at the end of 2007. Last year, it said it wanted to raise production to 25,000 barrels daily by the end of this year. The company’s output slipped to 7,000 barrels a day in the first quarter, but it blamed “technical and logistics issues” and maintained its daily production target of 25,000 barrels by year end.

Sinopec is a minority partner with OAO Rosneft in two smaller Russian projects. The Chinese company’s oil-equivalent reserves in Russia equal about 540 million barrels as of Jan. 1, 2009, said Paul Fieldsend, an analyst at energy consultancy Wood Mackenzie in Edinburgh. ONGC controls 20% of the Sakhalin-1 project led by Exxon Mobil in eastern Russia.

Russia’s oil and gas fields have proved treacherous for other foreign investors. When Royal Dutch Shell PLC announced that costs at the Sakhalin-2 project had nearly doubled, Russian environmental regulators bombarded it with complaints until Shell sold a majority stake in the project to a Kremlin-run gas company in 2006. BP PLC is now embroiled in a bitter dispute with local shareholders in its largest Russian investment, a joint venture called TNK-BP Ltd.”



This entry was posted on Thursday, August 7th, 2008 at 11:24 am and is filed under China, India, Oil & Natural Gas Corporation, Russia, Sinopec.  You can follow any responses to this entry through the RSS 2.0 feed.  You can leave a response, or trackback from your own site. 

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Wildcats & Black Sheep is a personal interest blog dedicated to the identification and evaluation of maverick investment opportunities arising in frontier - and, what some may consider to be, “rogue” or “black sheep” - markets around the world.

Focusing primarily on The New Seven Sisters - the largely state owned petroleum companies from the emerging world that have become key players in the oil & gas industry as identified by Carola Hoyos, Chief Energy Correspondent for The Financial Times - but spanning other nascent opportunities around the globe that may hold potential in the years ahead, Wildcats & Black Sheep is a place for the adventurous to contemplate & evaluate the emerging markets of tomorrow.